Science Bowl Question

📅 MIT Science Bowl 2024🎓 HS🔄 Round 9#️⃣ Question 12🌟 BONUS✍️ Short Answer

In Timlandia, two-thirds of the population always tell the truth, while the remaining one-third always lie. Emmy asks four inhabitants of Timlandia whether it is snowing currently, and three of them say yes. What is the probability that it is snowing, given that Emmy's prior is that it is equally likely to snow or not snow in Timlandia?

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